Thinking about Ukraine in Five Years

One aspect of the crisis in Ukraine is positive. There is so much negative, that it is easy to overlook this positive thing. But it is there.

What is it? Keep in mind that before Russia intervened, Ukraine had been in and out of crisis for years. It was essentially a failed state. Politically, it was incredibly fragmented. And corruption was the norm.

Now? Ukrainians now have a powerful reason to come together. They sense the “gorilla in the closet”. And they are coming together. For that reason, I suspect that Ukraine in five years will be a much, much different place.

It is not the way I would have chosen for Ukrainians to ´do this. But it is an illustration of one aspect of the dynamic of conflict.


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